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Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Primary

Market 59.9%

Certus 65.0%

+5.1%

Secondary

Market 65.9%

Certus 55.5%

-10.4%

Result

Market 65.9%

Certus 55.5%

-10.4%

Settled

US Major League · 2026-08-20 10:30 · Certus

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo

Predicted 2-0

Actual 0-1

Core configuration [3.5] fine, second choice handicap home and away and home [-1]

Primary [3.5] Under Secondary main[-1] Result Home Goals O/U [3.5] Under

Market reference pricing

主客和

Home win

1.34

Market implied 74.6%

Draw

4.55

Market implied 22.0%

Away win

6.0

Market implied 16.7%

半場主客和

Home win

1.73

Market implied 57.8%

Draw

2.54

Market implied 39.4%

Away win

5.9

Market implied 16.9%

半場入球大細

[1.5]

Over

2.22

Market implied 45.0%

Under

1.58

Market implied 63.3%

[1.5/2]

Over

2.68

Market implied 37.3%

Under

1.4

Market implied 71.4%

[2.5]

Over

4.6

Market implied 21.7%

Under

1.14

Market implied 87.7%

入球大細

[3/3.5]

Over

2.05

Market implied 48.8%

Under

1.68

Market implied 59.5%

[3.5]

Over

2.3

Market implied 43.5%

Under

1.54

Market implied 64.9%

[4.5]

Over

3.9

Market implied 25.6%

Under

1.2

Market implied 83.3%

球隊入球大細

主 [2.5] 大

2.4

Market implied 41.7%

主 [2.5] 細

1.5

Market implied 66.7%

主 [3.5] 大

4.4

Market implied 22.7%

主 [3.5] 細

1.15

Market implied 87.0%

客 [0.5] 大

1.5

Market implied 66.7%

客 [0.5] 細

2.4

Market implied 41.7%

客 [1.5] 大

3.4

Market implied 29.4%

客 [1.5] 細

1.26

Market implied 79.4%

球隊半場入球大細

主 [0.5] 大

1.47

Market implied 68.0%

主 [0.5] 細

2.48

Market implied 40.3%

主 [1.5] 大

3.2

Market implied 31.2%

主 [1.5] 細

1.29

Market implied 77.5%

客 [0.5] 大

2.75

Market implied 36.4%

客 [0.5] 細

1.38

Market implied 72.5%

讓球

主[-1/-1.5]

1.93

Market implied 51.8%

客[+1/+1.5]

1.83

Market implied 54.6%

半場讓球

主[-0.5/-1]

2.2

Market implied 45.5%

客[+0.5/+1]

1.59

Market implied 62.9%

讓球主客和

主[-1]

2.07

Market implied 48.3%

和[-1]

3.55

Market implied 28.2%

客[+1]

2.65

Market implied 37.7%

主[-2]

3.7

Market implied 27.0%

和[-2]

4.25

Market implied 23.5%

客[+2]

1.57

Market implied 63.7%

波膽

Home

1:0

7.75

2:0

6.9

2:1

6.9

3:0

9.5

3:1

9.75

3:2

20.0

4:0

16.0

4:1

16.0

4:2

30.0

5:0

35.0

5:1

35.0

5:2

50.0

Draw

0:0

16.0

1:1

8.75

2:2

14.0

3:3

40.0

Away

0:1

20.0

0:2

30.0

1:2

16.0

0:3

70.0

1:3

40.0

2:3

40.0

0:4

250.0

1:4

125.0

2:4

100.0

0:5

700.0

1:5

500.0

2:5

500.0

半場波膽

Home

1:0

3.35

2:0

5.4

2:1

11.0

3:0

13.5

3:1

40.0

3:2

150.0

4:0

60.0

4:1

125.0

4:2

500.0

5:0

250.0

5:1

500.0

5:2

1000.0

Draw

0:0

3.35

1:1

7.0

2:2

50.0

3:3

700.0

Away

0:1

7.75

0:2

30.0

1:2

26.0

0:3

150.0

1:3

150.0

2:3

400.0

0:4

900.0

1:4

900.0

2:4

1500.0

0:5

5000.0

1:5

5000.0

2:5

5000.0

半全場

主-主

1.97

Market implied 50.8%

主-和

15.0

Market implied 6.7%

主-客

40.0

Market implied 2.5%

和-主

3.9

Market implied 25.6%

和-和

7.0

Market implied 14.3%

和-客

13.0

Market implied 7.7%

客-主

21.0

Market implied 4.8%

客-和

15.0

Market implied 6.7%

客-客

9.5

Market implied 10.5%

總入球

0球

16.0

Market implied 6.2%

1球

6.0

Market implied 16.7%

2球

3.95

Market implied 25.3%

3球

3.65

Market implied 27.4%

4球

4.4

Market implied 22.7%

5球

6.4

Market implied 15.6%

6球

11.0

Market implied 9.1%

7+球

15.0

Market implied 6.7%

入球單雙

單

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

雙

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

第一隊入球

主

1.32

Market implied 75.8%

無

16.0

Market implied 6.2%

客

3.1

Market implied 32.3%

Recent form

Vancouver Whitecaps

W D L L D

2026-08-17 西雅圖海灣者 0-2
2026-08-12 堤格雷斯 1-1
2026-08-08 祖亞雷斯 1-3
2026-08-05 阿蘭特 0-1
2026-08-02 FC洛杉磯 1-1

Houston Dynamo

W W W W D

2026-08-16 洛杉磯銀河 1-0
2026-08-09 新英倫革命 0-2
2026-08-02 肯薩斯體育會 0-2
2026-07-26 FC奧斯汀 3-0
2026-07-23 華盛頓聯隊 1-1

Other matches same day

Team dossier

Vancouver Whitecaps

溫哥華白浪足球會是一支位於加拿大卑詩省溫哥華的職業足球會，2011年開始在美國職業足球大聯盟（MLS）作賽，成為該聯盟第二支加拿大球隊。這是第三支以「溫哥華白浪」名義作賽的球隊；第一代白浪隊從1974年至1984年在北美足球聯賽作賽，而第二代白浪隊則於1986年至2010年間先後在加拿大足球聯賽、聯合足球聯賽甲組和美國足協乙組聯賽作賽（1986年至2001年間名為「溫哥華86人」）。

· Founded 2009

Houston Dynamo

侯斯頓戴拿模是美國職業足球大聯盟球隊。球隊位於美國德克薩斯州侯斯頓，主場是PNC體育場。2006年球季正式比賽。

休斯敦 · Shell Energy Stadium · Founded 2005

View league profile →

Team dossier content is sourced from public encyclopedias and is for reference only.

Deep analysis

Asset weight allocation

Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Dimension	Market implied %	Certus %	Premium rate

Actuarial narrative

This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.

In-depth analysis

This game is the top contest in the West Coast of the American Professional League (MLS) in the 2026 season. The Vancouver Whitecaps (37 points), which currently occupies the top spot in the West Coast, will host Houston Dynamo (35 points), which is second. This is a standard "top battle", but the market pricing gives extremely deep data of 1.34 main wins (implied win rate of about 65.9%). This reflects that the organization is highly wary of the Whitecaps' extremely terrible home record (7 wins, 1 loss). In terms of injuries, according to the official news in mid-August 2026, the Whitecaps' main defensive linemen Ranko Veselinovic and Kwasi Poku are absent; Dynamo has Gabriel Segal injured, and both lineups have certain losses.

From the perspective of tactical deduction, the battle for the top spot is often accompanied by a certain degree of tactical conservatism and mutual attrition. Although the home team has a winning rate of over 60%, due to the strong triggering of the "high directional confidence trap", the direct choice of deep handicap or home and away is disproportionate to the cost performance and risk. Considering that Dynamo is second in the league and also has strong defensive toughness, the probability of scoring a huge score is low, so it is cut into [3.5] Fine as the first choice defensive asset. With the support of the Whitecaps' strong home court, the rhythm of the game will still be controlled by the home team. The second choice will win handicap home and away and home [-1]. It is expected that the home team can finally seal the opponent with a score of about 2-0.

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Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo

Market reference pricing

主客和

半場主客和

半場入球大細

入球大細

球隊入球大細

球隊半場入球大細

讓球

半場讓球

讓球主客和

波膽

半場波膽

半全場

總入球

入球單雙

第一隊入球

Recent form

Team dossier

Vancouver Whitecaps

Houston Dynamo

Deep analysis

Asset weight allocation

Full-time HAD probabilities

Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Market recommendations

Actuarial narrative

In-depth analysis