Market implied pricing vs Certus probability
Primary
Secondary
Result
Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo
The core configuration is the main win, the second choice [2.5] is fine, the model predicts a small victory of Fortaleza 1-0
Market reference pricing
主客和
Home win
1.56
Market implied 64.1%
Draw
3.35
Market implied 29.9%
Away win
5.1
Market implied 19.6%
半場主客和
Home win
2.08
Market implied 48.1%
Draw
2.08
Market implied 48.1%
Away win
5.5
Market implied 18.2%
入球大細
Over
1.86
Market implied 53.8%
Under
1.84
Market implied 54.3%
Over
2.13
Market implied 46.9%
Under
1.63
Market implied 61.3%
Over
3.9
Market implied 25.6%
Under
1.2
Market implied 83.3%
半場入球大細
Over
2.5
Market implied 40.0%
Under
1.46
Market implied 68.5%
Over
2.98
Market implied 33.6%
Under
1.33
Market implied 75.2%
Over
3.9
Market implied 25.6%
Under
1.2
Market implied 83.3%
球隊半場入球大細
主 [0.5] 大
1.77
Market implied 56.5%
主 [0.5] 細
1.93
Market implied 51.8%
主 [1.5] 大
4.75
Market implied 21.1%
主 [1.5] 細
1.13
Market implied 88.5%
客 [0.5] 大
3.05
Market implied 32.8%
客 [0.5] 細
1.32
Market implied 75.8%
球隊入球大細
主 [1.5] 大
1.93
Market implied 51.8%
主 [1.5] 細
1.77
Market implied 56.5%
主 [2.5] 大
3.9
Market implied 25.6%
主 [2.5] 細
1.2
Market implied 83.3%
客 [0.5] 大
1.71
Market implied 58.5%
客 [0.5] 細
2.01
Market implied 49.8%
客 [1.5] 大
4.3
Market implied 23.3%
客 [1.5] 細
1.16
Market implied 86.2%
讓球主客和
主[-1]
2.83
Market implied 35.3%
和[-1]
3.2
Market implied 31.2%
客[+1]
2.1
Market implied 47.6%
主[-2]
6.0
Market implied 16.7%
和[-2]
4.6
Market implied 21.7%
客[+2]
1.32
Market implied 75.8%
波膽
Home
1:0
5.1
2:0
6.1
2:1
7.25
3:0
11.0
3:1
14.0
3:2
30.0
4:0
25.0
4:1
30.0
4:2
60.0
5:0
50.0
5:1
70.0
5:2
150.0
Draw
0:0
7.25
1:1
6.6
2:2
17.0
3:3
70.0
Away
0:1
11.0
0:2
24.0
1:2
14.5
0:3
60.0
1:3
40.0
2:3
50.0
0:4
300.0
1:4
150.0
2:4
200.0
0:5
900.0
1:5
700.0
2:5
700.0
半場波膽
Home
1:0
3.1
2:0
7.25
2:1
14.5
3:0
23.0
3:1
60.0
3:2
300.0
4:0
100.0
4:1
300.0
4:2
900.0
5:0
600.0
5:1
1000.0
5:2
3000.0
Draw
0:0
2.39
1:1
7.25
2:2
80.0
3:3
1000.0
Away
0:1
7.25
0:2
25.0
1:2
40.0
0:3
200.0
1:3
250.0
2:3
600.0
0:4
1000.0
1:4
1000.0
2:4
2000.0
0:5
5000.0
1:5
5000.0
2:5
5000.0
半全場
主-主
2.43
Market implied 41.2%
主-和
15.0
Market implied 6.7%
主-客
45.0
Market implied 2.2%
和-主
3.85
Market implied 26.0%
和-和
4.7
Market implied 21.3%
和-客
10.0
Market implied 10.0%
客-主
26.0
Market implied 3.8%
客-和
15.0
Market implied 6.7%
客-客
8.5
Market implied 11.8%
總入球
0球
7.25
Market implied 13.8%
1球
3.85
Market implied 26.0%
2球
3.2
Market implied 31.2%
3球
3.85
Market implied 26.0%
4球
5.9
Market implied 16.9%
5球
11.0
Market implied 9.1%
6球
26.0
Market implied 3.8%
7+球
35.0
Market implied 2.9%
入球單雙
單
1.89
Market implied 52.9%
雙
1.81
Market implied 55.2%
第一隊入球
主
1.48
Market implied 67.6%
無
7.25
Market implied 13.8%
客
3.05
Market implied 32.8%
Recent form
Fortaleza
- 2026-08-10 古亞巴 1-1
- 2026-08-06 彭美拉斯 3-2
- 2026-08-03 彭美拉斯 3-0
- 2026-07-29 保地花高SP 1-0
- 2026-07-22 維拉諾瓦 2-1
Sao Bernardo
- 2026-08-15 保地花高SP 0-1
- 2026-08-08 奧柏拉里奧 1-3
- 2026-07-27 施亞拉 3-4
- 2026-07-24 競技體育會 2-1
Other matches same day
Team dossier
Fortaleza
福塔雷薩足球會 是一支总部位于波哥大的哥伦比亚职业足球队，目前效力于哥伦比亚顶级足球哥倫比亞甲組足球聯賽。该队曾于2013年、2015年和2023年三次晋升甲级联赛。 2018 年至 2020 年，他们在科塔市政球场进行主场比赛，随后迁往波哥大的大都会科技球场。隊名源自西班牙語「力量」，而隊徽中握緊的拳頭同樣是力量的體現。
Sao Bernardo
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