Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.6%
Secondary
Market
52.7%
Lexis
55.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.3%
Result
Market
53.8%
Lexis
49.2%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.6%
Settled
Australian NPL - New South Wales · 2026-07-25 17:15
· Lexis
St George City vs Sydney UtdSt George City vs Sydney Utd
Predicted0-2
Actual1-0
Core setup is away win, second pick [2.5] Detailed echoes low score control prediction
PrimaryAway✗Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
