Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Secondary
Market
54.7%
Ramus
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+3.3%
Result
Market
57.1%
Ramus
54.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-3.1%
Settled
UE Champions · 2026-07-22 02:30
· Ramus
Sturm Graz vs HeartsSturm Graz vs Hearts
Predicted2-1
Actual4-0
The cup gray zone centers on the top 1 goal of the entire match[0] draw, paired with a 2.5-goal over-the-ball setup as a support.
PrimaryHome[0]✓Secondary[2.5] Over✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ramus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ramus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
