Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+3.9%
Secondary
Market
—
Ramus
37.5%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
81.1%
Ramus
85.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+3.9%
Settled
UE Champions · 2026-07-22 00:00
· Ramus
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red ImpsMjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Predicted3-0
Actual3-0
In the Champions League, the home team dominated the competition, with their core lineup winning the entire home game, complemented by a halftime home [-1] and a 3.5-goal narrow-ball defense
PrimaryHome✓SecondaryMain[-1]—ResultHome✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ramus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ramus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
