Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Secondary
Market
53.4%
Ramus
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.6%
Result
Market
75.6%
Ramus
48.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-27.6%
Settled
UE Champions · 2026-07-22 00:00
· Ramus
Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock WanderingArarat-Armenia vs Shamrock Wandering
Predicted1-0
Actual2-0
In the cup gray zone, the main recommendation is the overall draw defense (0) draw, with the 2.5-goal under as the second option to hedge against draw risk.
PrimaryHome[0]✓Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ramus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ramus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
