Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Secondary
Market
43.6%
Orbis
52.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+8.4%
Result
Market
81.4%
Orbis
81.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-0.4%
Settled
UE Champions · 2026-07-22 03:00
· Orbis
Larne vs Crvena ZvezdaLarne vs Crvena Zvezda
Predicted1-3
Actual0-4
The away team is overwhelmingly strong, with a core lineup of all away players [-2], with 3.5 goals as the second option for a big profit margin.
PrimaryAway[-2]✓Secondary[3.5] Over✓ResultAway✓Goals O/U[3.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Orbis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Orbis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
