← Back to strategy list

Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Primary

Market 56.4%

Certus 62.0%

+5.6%

Secondary

Market —

Certus 40.0%

—

Result

Market 28.9%

Certus 33.1%

+4.2%

Settled

Women Africa Cup of Nations · 2026-08-14 01:00 · Certus

Cote d'Ivoire Women vs Ghana Women Cote d'Ivoire Women vs Ghana Women

Predicted 1-1

Actual 1-2

Core configuration [2.5] fine, second choice Asian handicap main [0/+0.5]

Primary [2.5] Under Secondary Main[0/+0.5] Result Draw Goals O/U [2.5] Under

Market reference pricing

主客和

Home win

3.35

Market implied 29.9%

Draw

3.05

Market implied 32.8%

Away win

1.97

Market implied 50.8%

半場主客和

Home win

3.65

Market implied 27.4%

Draw

1.96

Market implied 51.0%

Away win

2.8

Market implied 35.7%

半場入球大細

[1/1.5]

Over

2.58

Market implied 38.8%

Under

1.44

Market implied 69.4%

[1.5]

Over

3.05

Market implied 32.8%

Under

1.32

Market implied 75.8%

[1.5/2]

Over

3.9

Market implied 25.6%

Under

1.2

Market implied 83.3%

入球大細

[2/2.5]

Over

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

Under

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

[2.5]

Over

2.12

Market implied 47.2%

Under

1.64

Market implied 61.0%

[3.5]

Over

3.8

Market implied 26.3%

Under

1.21

Market implied 82.6%

球隊入球大細

主 [1.5] 大

3.05

Market implied 32.8%

主 [1.5] 細

1.32

Market implied 75.8%

主 [2.5] 大

8.0

Market implied 12.5%

主 [2.5] 細

1.04

Market implied 96.2%

客 [1.5] 大

2.4

Market implied 41.7%

客 [1.5] 細

1.5

Market implied 66.7%

客 [2.5] 大

5.4

Market implied 18.5%

客 [2.5] 細

1.1

Market implied 90.9%

球隊半場入球大細

主 [0.5] 大

2.4

Market implied 41.7%

主 [0.5] 細

1.5

Market implied 66.7%

主 [1.5] 大

8.0

Market implied 12.5%

主 [1.5] 細

1.04

Market implied 96.2%

客 [0.5] 大

2.05

Market implied 48.8%

客 [0.5] 細

1.68

Market implied 59.5%

客 [1.5] 大

6.25

Market implied 16.0%

客 [1.5] 細

1.07

Market implied 93.5%

讓球主客和

主[+1]

1.56

Market implied 64.1%

和[+1]

3.7

Market implied 27.0%

客[-1]

4.35

Market implied 23.0%

主[-1]

6.7

Market implied 14.9%

和[-1]

4.6

Market implied 21.7%

客[+1]

1.29

Market implied 77.5%

讓球

主[0/+0.5]

1.82

Market implied 54.9%

客[0/-0.5]

1.95

Market implied 51.3%

半場讓球

主[0/+0.5]

1.56

Market implied 64.1%

客[0/-0.5]

2.27

Market implied 44.1%

波膽

Home

1:0

7.5

2:0

14.0

2:1

10.0

3:0

35.0

3:1

28.0

3:2

35.0

4:0

80.0

4:1

70.0

4:2

80.0

5:0

300.0

5:1

250.0

5:2

400.0

Draw

0:0

7.5

1:1

5.7

2:2

13.5

3:3

50.0

Away

0:1

6.2

0:2

9.5

1:2

7.5

0:3

20.0

1:3

19.0

2:3

30.0

0:4

40.0

1:4

40.0

2:4

70.0

0:5

125.0

1:5

125.0

2:5

200.0

半場波膽

Home

1:0

5.2

2:0

13.5

2:1

22.0

3:0

80.0

3:1

125.0

3:2

400.0

4:0

500.0

4:1

700.0

4:2

1500.0

5:0

2000.0

5:1

3000.0

5:2

5000.0

Draw

0:0

2.36

1:1

6.7

2:2

70.0

3:3

900.0

Away

0:1

3.9

0:2

9.25

1:2

16.0

0:3

50.0

1:3

80.0

2:3

300.0

0:4

300.0

1:4

500.0

2:4

1000.0

0:5

1000.0

1:5

2000.0

2:5

5000.0

半全場

主-主

4.75

Market implied 21.1%

主-和

13.5

Market implied 7.4%

主-客

29.0

Market implied 3.4%

和-主

6.5

Market implied 15.4%

和-和

4.25

Market implied 23.5%

和-客

4.95

Market implied 20.2%

客-主

30.0

Market implied 3.3%

客-和

13.5

Market implied 7.4%

客-客

3.6

Market implied 27.8%

總入球

0球

7.5

Market implied 13.3%

1球

3.85

Market implied 26.0%

2球

3.2

Market implied 31.2%

3球

3.85

Market implied 26.0%

4球

6.0

Market implied 16.7%

5球

10.5

Market implied 9.5%

6球

25.0

Market implied 4.0%

7+球

35.0

Market implied 2.9%

入球單雙

單

1.9

Market implied 52.6%

雙

1.8

Market implied 55.6%

第一隊入球

主

2.21

Market implied 45.2%

無

7.5

Market implied 13.3%

客

1.8

Market implied 55.6%

Recent form

Cote d'Ivoire Women

L W D W

Ghana Women

L D L W

2026-08-10 馬拉維女足 2-1
2026-08-07 馬里女足 1-1
2026-08-03 喀麥隆女足 0-1
2026-07-30 佛得角女足 2-0

Other matches same day

04:00 · 南非女足 vs 尼日利亞女足 (2-1)

Team dossier

Cote d'Ivoire Women

科特迪瓦国家女子足球队是代表科特迪瓦参加国际女子足球赛事的国家队，并受科特迪瓦足球协会领导。她们于1988年首次参加国际比赛，目前在国际足联女子世界排名中位居第67位，同时亦是非洲足联区内的第六位。

Ghana Women

View league profile →

Team dossier content is sourced from public encyclopedias and is for reference only.

Deep analysis

Asset weight allocation

Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Dimension	Market implied %	Certus %	Premium rate

Actuarial narrative

This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.

In-depth analysis

This event is the World Cup qualifying play-off (Repechage) of the 2026 Women's African Cup of Nations (WAFCON). The two sides, the Côte d'Ivoire women's football team and the Ghana women's football team, both lost 1-2 in the quarterfinals, losing to Algeria and Malawi, who were participating for the first time respectively. For these two teams that have missed the chance to compete for the cup championship, this game is a life and death battle for tickets to the 2027 World Cup intercontinental play-offs. The fighting spirit of both sides is at its peak.

Judging from recent matches and tactical formations, the two sides had met in a warm-up match in mid-July this year. At that time, the Ghana women's football team won 1-0 with Sharon Sampson's goal, showing a relatively solid defensive system. Côte d'Ivoire scored 7 goals in the group stage (including 3 goals contributed by striker Inès Konan), but failed to maintain its firepower against high-intensity defense after entering the knockout rounds. The market currently gives Ghana a slight advantage (the implied probability of an away win is 41.2%), but considering the high-pressure environment in which a play-off match determines life and death, there is a high probability that the two teams will play more cautiously at the start to avoid conceding the first goal.

With the expectation of a boring battle and the fact that neither side dares to act rashly, the chances of scoring fewer goals and drawing a draw are significantly increased. Since there is no tie handicap in this game, in the absence of a non-destructive defense mechanism, the investment logic should shift to the direction of a low number of goals with higher certainty.

Report content is protected; unauthorized copying or redistribution is prohibited.

Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Cote d'Ivoire Women vs Ghana Women Cote d'Ivoire Women vs Ghana Women

Market reference pricing

主客和

半場主客和

半場入球大細

入球大細

球隊入球大細

球隊半場入球大細

讓球主客和

讓球

半場讓球

波膽

半場波膽

半全場

總入球

入球單雙

第一隊入球

Recent form

Team dossier

Cote d'Ivoire Women

Ghana Women

Deep analysis

Asset weight allocation

Full-time HAD probabilities

Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Market recommendations

Actuarial narrative

In-depth analysis