Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.8%
Secondary
Market
68.3%
Ordo
57.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-10.7%
Result
Market
68.3%
Ordo
57.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-10.7%
Settled
UE Conference · 2026-07-31 01:00
· Ordo
Brann vs University of ClujBrann vs University of Cluj
Predicted3-0
Actual3-1
Core configuration [2.5] large, secondary choice main [-1] through the disc
Primary[2.5] Over✓SecondaryMain[-1]—ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
In-depth analysis
In this European Association League match, Brann will face the University of Cluj at home. Judging from the market's implicit pricing, the home team's winning rate is as high as 68.3% (home win 1.29), and the 2.5-goal high zone (large) market pricing are as low as 1.44, showing that the market has high hopes for Bailan's offensive pressure and explosive score at home.
Brann's home tactical style is very forward-pressing, and it can often establish a double-digit shooting advantage when facing qualifying matches or multinational competitors; Cluj University's away defensive toughness is limited, and it is easy to make mistakes in the backcourt when facing high-intensity and high-pressure pressing. The predicted score is 3-0, the game is highly open, and the number of goals scored and the home team's penetration has extremely high execution value.
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