Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.3%
Secondary
Market
54.2%
Ordo
47.8%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-6.4%
Result
Market
54.2%
Ordo
47.8%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-6.4%
Settled
UE Conference · 2026-07-31 00:00
· Ordo
Inter Turku vs Bashak ShuxiInter Turku vs Bashak Shuxi
Unlock market reference pricing and deep analysis for this match — full-market pricing, weight allocation, actuarial narrative, and recommendation grid.
Virtual credits are for statistical research only · Unlocks are permanent for this match
✓Unlocked · Loading deep analysis…
★
Deep analysis
🔒
Loading quantitative analysis
Failed to load analysis. Please refresh the page.
Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
In-depth analysis
In this European Association League qualifier, the Finnish Super League team Inter Dugu plays at home against the Turkish Super League team Basak Shuhi. Judging from the overall league level, player value and European war experience, Basak Shuhi has significant overall advantages.
Tactics and market pricing context:
Strength Rank and Winning Rate Conversion: The market currently offers an away win of 1.63 (the implied probability of de-pumping is about 54.2%), which clearly reflects the hard power suppression of the away team in the Turkish Super League. However, considering the away trip to Northern Europe and the physical condition at the beginning of the season, the visiting team has a greater resistance to handicap with a multiple-goal margin.
Goal threshold and offensive and defensive pattern: The data premium baseline 2.5-goal high area (Over) pricing is as low as 1.69 (implied winning rate is about 59%), and the popular asset allocation rankings include 0:1, 1:1 and 1:2. Basak Shuhi has strong offensive power but the risk of conceding goals is not low in away games. Internazionale Dougou also has a counterattack threat at home, and the total goals scored across the 2.5 goal line have the highest confidence.
Comprehensive evaluation, [2.5] Da is the stable asset with the highest confidence in the market, and it is used with Kesheng as a directional auxiliary configuration.
Report content is protected; unauthorized copying or redistribution is prohibited.
